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Letâs start with a little history. The Tribune Company started in 1847 and moved into broadcast in 1924. It went public in 1984. It grew in both of these industries with multiple mergers and disposals through the years. In 2007, Sam Zell purchased the company through a leveraged buyout and started selling assets. By 2008, they filed bankruptcy and the ownership transferred to employees and the largest debt holder: Oaktree Capital Management, JP Morgan Chase, and Angelo, Gordon & Co. Although considered privately held, there are A and B class shares trading on the OTC markets. The Tribune is once again restructuring. This time they are getting rid of the newspaper business. This spin off will be called Tribune Publishing (TPUB) and trade on the NYSE. Its big papers will be the LA Times and Chicago Tribune. It will issue debt and kick it back to the parent. It will not own the real estate it operates from, but will lease that from the parent company. It will only have an affiliate status for its job classifieds run withÂ careerbuilder.com, which will remain owned by the parent.
Mar.Â 30,Â 2014
Dec.Â 29,Â 2013
Accounts receivable (net of allowances)
Deferred income taxes
Prepaid expenses and other
Total current assets
Machinery, equipment and furniture
Buildings and leasehold improvements
Construction in progress
Intangible assets, net
Deferred income taxes
Total other assets
Employee compensation and benefits
Total current liabilities
Postretirement medical, life and other benefits
Total non-current liabilities
Total liabilities and equity
For the financial information, the amounts are shown per share using the shares expected to be outstanding post distribution. This will hopefully help the reader link the importance of the financial information to the value per share. Please share your thoughts on this experiment below.It is clear the owners consider this to be bad assets and are removing it from their prime offering, which will be a broadcasting company with cash and real estate. It is assumed by the primary investors being experts in distressed investment that the selling of the parent is where they will most likely make a majority of their return. As such, there is a chance they will not try to manipulate the price any greater than they already have to the market by slowly selling their shares and therefore the share price will be artificially low.
Total operating revenues
Cost of sales
Selling, general and administrative
Total operating expenses
Gain (Loss) on equity investments, net
Interest income (expense), net
Reorganization items, net
Income beforeÂ income taxes
Income tax expense
As you can see the earnings for the last few years have been much higher than the years prior, this was driven from cost cutting as revenues were in decline. This appears to be a temporary measure to ensure a good issuance as costs have already started to increase per the quarterly information for March. Additionally, as the new spin off begins to work out of the transition service agreement, which ends two year after the spinoff date. Finally, the increased debt load will weigh down the company with additional payments not currently recognized. If potential investors realize this in addition to the current investors selling quickly and the disregard for the dying industry known as newspapers, then the price might fall excessively.
For comparables the New York Times and Gannet were selected. As the New York Times has a higher brand premium, which can be seen in the fact a majority of its revenue is from subscriptions rather than advertising, it is can be estimated to trade at a discount to the New York Times, but comparable to Gannet, whose biggest name asset is USA Today. As you can see they are currently trying to suggest a price around $60, which the fair value market is closer to $30 and could allow for shorting. If a change in strategy does not occur in the next few years, then the company will struggle to meet its obligations as the revenues continue to decline. For this reason, the stock option idea of theta is needed in your considerations of a margin of safety. A heavy margin is needed, where a price below $10, depending on your risk tolerance and investment objectives, should be considered. The record date is July 28thÂ and distribution date is August 4th. Keep an eye on the share price to see what happens.